{"id":7320,"date":"2008-10-22T11:14:00","date_gmt":"2008-10-22T11:14:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.pharma-mkting.com\/cutback-in-prescriptions-is-sign-of\/"},"modified":"2019-02-21T01:24:21","modified_gmt":"2019-02-21T01:24:21","slug":"cutback-in-prescriptions-is-sign-of","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/ec2-54-175-84-28.compute-1.amazonaws.com\/pharma-mkting.com\/blog\/cutback-in-prescriptions-is-sign-of\/","title":{"rendered":"Cutback in Prescriptions is a Sign of Pharma Recession"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a onblur=\"try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}\" href=\"http:\/\/1.bp.blogspot.com\/_ZiPiXEv_Q_g\/SP8OUFE7LVI\/AAAAAAAABek\/7pLfOsndLrI\/s1600-h\/Rx-Trend.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"margin: 0pt 10px 10px 0pt; float: left; cursor: pointer;\" src=\"http:\/\/ec2-54-175-84-28.compute-1.amazonaws.com\/pharma-mkting.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/10\/Rx-Trend.jpg\" alt=\"\" id=\"BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5259938627915033938\" border=\"0\" \/><\/a>In the latest sign that the US pharmaceutical industry is in a recession, the New York Times reports that &#8220;through August of this year, the number of all prescriptions dispensed in the United States was lower than in the first eight months of last year, according to a recent analysis of data from IMS Health, a research firm that tracks prescriptions&#8221; (see &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.forums.pharma-mkting.com\/showthread.php?p=8606#post8606\">Some Cut Back on Prescription Drugs in Sour Economy<\/a>&#8220;).<\/p>\n<p>Even Lipitor, the best-selling drug in the world, is not exempt: United States sales of that drug were down 13 percent in the third quarter of this year according to Pfizer.<\/p>\n<p>The main reason for this drop in Rx&#8217;s, according the Times article, is the economy &#8212; to which may I add &#8220;duh!&#8221; or &#8220;stupid!&#8221;?<\/p>\n<p>Of course, this hasn&#8217;t hurt the profits of some companies like Pfizer who have already implemented cost-cutting programs (ie, laid off workers), benefited from a weaker dollar, and decided to focus on much more profitable biologics and\/or generics (see &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.forums.pharma-mkting.com\/showthread.php?t=7722\">Chantix and Lipitor Sales Fall, But Pfizer&#8217;s Earnings Rise<\/a>&#8220;, &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.forums.pharma-mkting.com\/showthread.php?t=7658\">Pfizer plans big push into generics<\/a>&#8220;, and &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.forums.pharma-mkting.com\/showthread.php?t=7263&amp;highlight=Pfizer\">Pfizer exits heart R&amp;D in major overhaul<\/a>&#8220;).<\/p>\n<p>The Times article worries that &#8220;if enough people try to save money by forgoing drugs controllable conditions could escalate into major medical problems. That could eventually raise the nation&#8217;s total health care bill and lower the nation&#8217;s standard of living.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>This assumes that there are no alternatives to high-priced brand name drugs like Lipitor. Yo, Times reporter, heard of generics? I&#8217;ve been taking generic pravachol &#8212; NO copay &#8212; for over a year now and though I yearn for the status of taking Lipitor &#8212; the market leader &#8212; I&#8217;m not faced with the choice between gas and drugs!<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Yes, I&#8217;ve heard of generics,&#8221; I imagine the Times reporter responding. &#8220;Already, a migration to generic drugs means that 60 percent of prescriptions over all are filled by off-brand versions of drugs [I heard 70% at an industry conference yesterday]. But with money tight, even cheaper generic drugs may not always be affordable drugs.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>I can&#8217;t see how you can get any cheaper than $0. Of course, not everyone has health insurance or a plan that has $0 for generic drug copay like mine. If you are one of those people, I hope you vote for the right person on November 4 is all I can say.<\/p>\n<p>In this economy, drug companies will need to follow Pfizer&#8217;s lead and re-invent themselves to stay profitable: essentially giving up the fight against generics and cutting back on research into drugs that will eventually become generics. Biologics are much more difficult to &#8220;genericize,&#8221; thus a safer investment.<\/p>\n<p>But that&#8217;s a long-term solution and until recently investors were not interested in such solutions. Not any longer. See &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.forums.pharma-mkting.com\/showthread.php?t=7719\">Investors turn to pharma for yields.<\/a>&#8221; While the authors of that article claim the reason investors are turning to pharma is because pharma is traditionally &#8220;recession proof,&#8221; it&#8217;s more than that. Economists are predicting a very long recession and this time pharma may come out of the recession sooner than other industries.<\/p>\n<p>BTW, have you taken my &#8220;Is the Pharma Industry in a Recession Poll?&#8221;<\/p>\n<table bg=\"\" style=\"color: rgb(238, 238, 238);\" border=\"0\" cellpadding=\"2\" cellspacing=\"0\" width=\"250\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"2\"><b>Is the Pharma Industry in a Recession?<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"5\"><\/td>\n<td>Yes<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"5\"><\/td>\n<td>No<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"5\"><\/td>\n<td>Not sure<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"5\"><\/td>\n<td>Not yet, but soon<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"5\"><\/td>\n<td>May not be a recession, but it&#8217;s hurting!<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"2\">  <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In the latest sign that the US pharmaceutical industry is in a recession, the New York Times reports that &#8220;through August of this year, the number of all prescriptions dispensed in the United States was lower than in the first eight months of last year, according to a recent analysis of data from IMS Health, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":8975,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[438,108,675],"topic":[],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - 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